T淋巴细胞亚群水平对原发性生殖器疱疹预后和复发情况的预测价值
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1.商洛市中心医院 皮肤科,陕西 商洛 726000;2.安康市中心医院 皮肤科, 陕西 安康 725000

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通讯作者:

靳艳茹,E-mail:jinyanru2018@163.com;Tel:18700530536

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R752.1

基金项目:

陕西省重点研发计划项目(No:2021SF-200)


The evaluation value of T lymphocyte subgroup levels on the prognosis and recurrence of primary genital herpes
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1.Department of Dermatology, Shangluo Central Hospital, Shangluo, Shaanxi 726000, China;2.Department of Dermatology, Ankang Central Hospital, Ankang, Shaanxi 725000, China

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    摘要:

    目的 探究T淋巴细胞亚群水平对原发性生殖器疱疹预后和复发情况的预测价值。方法 选取2021年1月—2024年1月商洛市中心医院收治的110例原发性生殖器疱疹患者,根据随访1年内是否复发分为非复发组(85例)和复发组(25例),根据预后情况分为预后良好组(78例)和预后不良组(32例)。比较各组的T淋巴细胞亚群水平,采用多因素一般Logistic回归模型分析原发性生殖器疱疹患者复发的影响因素并构建列线图,并采用Spearman法分析各指标的相关性。绘制受试者工作特征(ROC)曲线分析CD3+、CD4+及CD8+对原发性生殖器疱疹复发和预后的预测效能。结果 复发组的CD3+、CD4+水平均低于非复发组(P <0.05),CD8+水平高于非复发组(P <0.05)。预后不良组的CD3+、CD4+水平均低于预后良好组(P <0.05),CD8+水平高于预后良好组(P <0.05)。CD3+水平低[O^R=0.878(95% CI:0.774,0.996)]、CD4+水平低[O^R=0.860(95% CI:0.744,0.994)]、CD8+水平高[O^R=1.833(95% CI:1.337,2.512)]是原发性生殖器疱疹复发的危险因素(P <0.05)。Spearman相关性分析结果显示,原发性生殖器疱疹预后不良患者的CD4+水平与CD3+水平呈正相关(rs =0.434,P <0.05);CD8+水平与CD3+水平呈负相关(rs =-0.376,P <0.05)。ROC曲线分析结果显示,CD3+、CD4+及CD8+联合预测原发性生殖器疱疹复发的敏感性为95.7%(95% CI:0.796,0.999),特异性为80.5%(95% CI:0.699,0.879);CD3+、CD4+及CD8+联合预测原发性生殖器疱疹预后不良的敏感性为93.1%(95% CI:0.792,0.992),特异性为93.0%(95% CI:0.857,0.979),均明显优于CD3+、CD4+、CD8+单独预测。结论 T淋巴细胞亚群水平对原发性生殖器疱疹预后和复发有良好的预测价值。

    Abstract:

    Objective To explore the evaluation value of T lymphocyte subgroup levels on the prognosis and recurrence of primary genital herpes.Methods A total of 110 patients with primary genital herpes admitted to our hospital from January 2021 to January 2024 were selected. Based on whether there was a recurrence within one year of follow-up, patients were divided into a non-recurrence group (n = 85) and a recurrence group (n = 25), and according to the prognosis, into a good prognosis group (n = 78) and a poor prognosis group (n = 32). The levels of T lymphocyte subgroups were compared between these groups. Logistic analysis was used to identify the factors influencing the recurrence of primary genital herpes and to construct nomograms. Spearman's analysis was used to explore the correlation between various indicators. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were constructed to analyze the predictive efficiency of recurrence and prognosis in patients with primary genital herpes.Results The levels of CD3+ and CD4+ in the recurrence group were lower than those in the non-recurrence group, and CD8+ was higher than that in the non-recurrence group (P < 0.05). The levels of CD3+ and CD4+ in the poor prognosis group were lower than those in the good prognosis group, and CD8+ was higher than that in the good prognosis group (P < 0.05). Low CD3+ levels[O^R = 0.878 (95% CI: 0.774, 0.996)], low CD4+ levels [O^R = 0.860 (95% CI: 0.744, 0.994) ], and high CD8+ levels [O^R = 1.833 (95% CI: 1.337, 2.512) ] were identified as risk factors for the recurrence of primary genital herpes (P < 0.05). Spearman correlation analysis showed that in patients with poor prognosis of primary genital herpes, CD4+ levels were positively correlated with CD3+ levels (rs = 0.434, P =0.019), while CD8+ levels were negatively correlated with CD3+ levels (rs = -0.376, P =0.044). ROC curve analysis demonstrated that the combined prediction of CD3+, CD4+, and CD8+ for the recurrence and poor prognosis of primary genital herpes had significantly higher AUC values [sensitivity: 95.7% (95% CI: 0.796, 0.999), specificity: 80.5% (95% CI: 0.699, 0.879); sensitivity: 93.1% (95% CI: 0.792, 0.992), specificity: 93.0% (95% CI: 0.857, 0.979) ] compared to the individual prediction of CD3+, CD4+, or CD8?.Conclusion T lymphocyte subgroup levels have a good predictive value for the prognosis and recurrence of primary genital herpes.

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王琳,靳艳茹.T淋巴细胞亚群水平对原发性生殖器疱疹预后和复发情况的预测价值[J].中国现代医学杂志,2025,35(7):91-96

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  • 收稿日期:2025-01-13
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-04-18
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